The impact of information and communication technologies on international trade: A case of Sub-Saharan Africa
https://doi.org/10.26794/2308-944X-2024-12-3-40-59
Abstract
The aim of this research is to analyze the effect of information and communication technologies (ICT) on the bilateral trade flows of the countries of Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). We use the method of generalized least squares (GLS) panel to correct for correlation and heteroskedasticity problems. We have employed the gravity model extended to ICT to examine the effects of key ICT indicators on bilateral exports and imports. The sample includes 44 African countries of the subcontinent, including 43 countries as partners (importers/exporters) and one reporter country (exporter/importer) and covers the period 2010 to 2019. The results show that access to mobile telephony and the internet, as well as the development of e-commerce, have a great potential for improving intra-African bilateral trade and that the effect of ICT is not unequivocal according to the category of flow considered. However, it emerges from these results that the development of ICT as it is today has not yet succeeded in overturning the argument of physical distance as a barrier to trade in sub-Saharan Africa. The key conclusion is that the establishment of better-quality ICT services and infrastructure is more critical to intra-African trade. African policymakers should accommodate sufficient support to establish the ICT infrastructure and expand ICT penetration by reducing the costs of communication, transactions and access to ICT.
About the Authors
E. Bessan AyédounBenin
Eudoxie Bessan Ayedoun — PhD in Economics, specializes in international trade, member of Public Economics Laboratory
Cotonou
C. O. S. Ayédoun
Benin
Christian Olatundé Sinda Ayedoun — Economist-Statistician, Researcher and Food security officer at World Food Program (WFP)
Cotonou
References
1. Pradhan R. P., Arvin M., Nair M., Bennett S., Bahmani S. ICT-finance-growth nexus: Empirical evidence from the Next-11 countries. Cuadernos de Economía. 2017;40(113):115–134. URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cesjef.2016.02.003
2. Bessan Ayédoun E., Ayédoun C. Développement des Infrastructures de Télécommunication et Croissance Economique dans les Pays de l’UEMOA: une Analyse de la Causalité sur Données de Panel à partir d’un VECM. Munich Personal RePEc Archive. 2020;104459(1):1–24. URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/104459
3. Choi C. The effect of the Internet on service trade. Economics Letters. 2010;109(2):102–104. URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2010.08.005
4. Lin F. Estimating the effect of the internet on international trade. The Journal of International Trade and Economic Development: An International and Comparative Review. 2015;24(3):409–428. URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/09638199.2014.881906
5. Chabossou A. F. Effets des technologies de l’information et de la communication sur la croissance économique du Bénin. Repères et Perspectives Economiques. 2018;2(1):17–38. URL: https://doi.org/10.34874/IMIST.PRSM/RPE/10924
6. Kurniawati M.A. Analysis of the impact of information communication technology on economic growth: empirical evidence from Asian countries. Journal of Asian Business and Economic Studies. 2022;29(1):2–18. URL: https://doi.org/10.1108/JABES-07–2020–0082
7. Zeeshan Z. S., Zhilin Q., Mabrouk F., Ramirez-Asis E., Alzoubi H., Hishan S. S., Michel M. Empirical linkages between ICT, tourism, and trade towards sustainable environment: evidence from BRICS countries. Economic research-Ekonomska istraživanja. 2023;36(2):1–23.
8. URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2022.2127417
9. Xing Z. The impacts of Information and Communications Technology (ICT) and E-commerce on bilateral trade flows. International Economics and Economic Policy. 2018;15(3):565–586. URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368–017–0375–5
10. Ozcan B. Information and communications technology (ICT) and international trade: evidence from Turkey. Eurasian Economic Review. 2018;8(1):93–113. URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40822–017–0077-x
11. Cuevas-Vargas H., Fernandez-Escobedo R., Cortes-Palacios H.A., Ramirez-Lemus L. The Relation Between Adoption of Information and Communication Technologies and Marketing Innovation as a Key Strategy to Improve Business Performance. Journal of Competitiveness. 2021;3(2):23–40. URL: https://doi.org/10.7441/joc.2021.02.02
12. Clarke G. R.G., Wallsten S. J. Has the internet increased trade? Developed and developing country evidence. Economic Inquiry. 2006;43(3):465–484. URL: https://doi.org/10.1093/ei/cbj026
13. Demirkan H., Goul M., Kauffman R. J., Weber, D. M. Does Distance Matter? The Influence of ICT on Bilateral Trade Flows. GlobDev. 2009;17(1):1–23. URL: https://aisel.aisnet.org/globdev2009/17
14. Chatterjee A. Financial inclusion, information and communication technology diffusion, and economic growth: a panel data analysis. Information Technology for Development. 2020;26(3):607–635. URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/02681102.2020.1734770
15. Dettmer B. International service transactions: Is time a trade barrier in a connected World? International Economic Journal. 2014;28(2):225–254. URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/10168737.2013.825305
16. Freund C., Weinhold D. The effect of the internet on international trade. Journal of International Economics. 2004;62(1):171–189 URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022–1996(03)00059-X
17. Liu L., Nath H. K. Information and Communications Technology (ICT) and Services Trade. Information Economics and Policy. 2017;41(C):81–87. URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.infoecopol.2017.06.003
18. Jungmittag A., Welfens P. Liberalization of EU telecommunications and trade: theory, gravity equation analysis and policy implications. International Economics and Economic Policy. 2009;6(1):23–39. URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368–009–0125–4
19. Bankole F. O., Osei-Bryson K.M., Brown I. The impact of information and communications technology infrastructure and complementary factors on intra-African trade. Information Technology for Development. 2015;21(1):12–28. URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/02681102.2013.832128
20. Hjort J., Poulsen J. The Arrival of Fast Internet and Employment in Africa. American Economic Review. 2019;109(3):1032–1079.
21. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20161385
22. Cariolle J., Le Goff L., Santoni O. Fast Internet, Digital Vulnerabilities, and Firm Performance in Developing and Transition Countries, Ferdi Working Paper. 2017;195(1):1–51. URL: https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3032902
23. Cariolle J., Goujon M. Infrastructure et économie numérique en Afrique subsaharienne et dans l’UEMOA: état des lieux, acteurs, et nouvelles vulnérabilités. FERDI Note brève. 2019; B 186(1):1–21. URL: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/269788
24. Schnatz B., Bussière M. Evaluating China’s integration in world trade with a gravity model based benchmark. European Central Bank. 2006;693(1):1–42. URL: https://ideas.repec.org/p/ecb/ecbwps/2006693.htm
25. Karagoz K., Saray M. O. Trade potential of Turkey with Asia-Pacific countries: Evidence from panel gravity model. International Economics Studies. 2021;36(1):19–26
26. https://ies.ui.ac.ir/article_15523_e0c4801eedd2d93bd51a3be5c13d6232.pdf
27. Freund C., Weinhold D. The internet and international trade in services. The American Economic Review. 2002;92(2):236–240 DOI: 10.1257/000282802320189320
28. Freund C., Weinhold D. An empirical investigation of the internet international trade: The case of Bolivia. Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico. 2004b;2(1),33–35. URL: http://www.scielo.org.bo/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&pid=S2074–47062004000100003&lng=es&nrm=iso&tlng=en
29. Clarke G. R.G. Has the internet increased exports for firms from low and middle-income countries? Information Economics and Policy. 2008;20(1):16–37. URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.infoecopol.2007.06.006
30. Weili L., Khan H., khan I. The impact of information and communication technology, financial development, and energy consumption on carbon dioxide emission: evidence from the Belt and Road countries. Environ Sci Pollut Res. 2022;29(1):27703–27718. URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356–021–18448–5
31. Vemuri V. K., Siddiqi S. Impact of Commercialization of the Internet on International Trade: A Panel Study Using the Extended Gravity Model. The International Trade Journal. 2009;23(4):458–484. URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/08853900903223792
32. Tang L. Communication costs and trade of differentiated goods. Review of International Economics. 2006;14(1):54–68. URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467–9396.2006.00560.x
33. Yushkova E. Impact of ICT on trade in different technology groups: analysis and implications. International Economics and Economic Policy. 2014;11(1):165–177. URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10368–013–0264–5
34. Liu L., Nath H. K. Information and communications technology and trade in emerging market economies. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade. 2013;49(6):67–87. DOI: 10.2753/REE1540–496X490605
35. Ahmad N.A., Ismail N. W., Hook L. S. The role of ICT infrastructure on Malaysian trade. International Journal of Economics and Management. 2011;5(1):140–148. URL: https://www.ukm.my/fep/perkem/pdf/perkemVI/PERKEM2011–2–5A4.pdf
36. Mattes A., Meinen P., Pavel F. Goods follow bytes: The impact of ICT on EU trade. German Institute for Economic Research, Discussion Papers. 2012;1182(1):1–25. URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2006481
37. Touati K., Aljazea A. The Impact of Information and Communication Technologies on International Trade: The Case of MENA Countries. Economies. 2023;11(11):270–288. URL: https://doi.org/10.3390/economies11110270
38. Timmis J. The internet and international trade in goods. The University of Nottingham Discussion Papers in Economics. 2012;12(3):1–43.
39. https://www.nottingham.ac.uk/economics/documents/discussion-papers/12–03.pdf
40. Tang C. F., Rosidi M. A.I. Investigating the effects of ICT infrastructure on Malaysia’s economic growth: Insights from the Solow growth model. Information Technology for Development. 2024;16(1):1–16. URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/02681102.2024.23385273
41. Tinbergen J. (1962). Shaping the world economy. The International Executive. 1962;5(1):27–30. URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/tie.5060050113
42. Nordas H. K., Piermartini R. Infrastructure and trade. World Trade Organization-Economic Research and Statistics Division, Staff Working Paper ERSD. 2004;4(1):1–30. URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.923507
43. Njinkeu D., Wilson J. S., Fosso B. P., Expanding Trade within Africa: The Impact of Trade Facilitation. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper. 2008;4790(1):1–31. URL: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1312273
44. Seck A. How Facilitating Trade would Benefit Trade in Sub-Saharan. Africa Journal of African Development. 2017;19(1):1–26; URL: https://doi.org/10.5325/jafrideve.19.1.0001
45. Kotchoni R., Gnimassoun B., Igue C. Potentiel d’expansion des échanges commerciaux entre les pays francophones d’Afrique de l’Ouest, Rapport de projet OFE–RP. 2019;6(1):1–51. URL: https://ofe.umontreal.ca/fileadmin/ofe/documents/Rapports/OFE-RP-no6.pdf
Review
For citations:
Bessan Ayédoun E., Ayédoun C.O. The impact of information and communication technologies on international trade: A case of Sub-Saharan Africa. Review of Business and Economics Studies. 2024;12(3):40-59. https://doi.org/10.26794/2308-944X-2024-12-3-40-59