Перспективы Трансатлантического соглашения о зоне свободной торговли между ЕС и США после Брекзита
Аннотация
В данной статье автор представляет правовую природу и экономические последствия соглашений о свободной торговле (FTA или RTS по терминологии ВТО) для экономик государств-членов и третьих стран. Вторая цель заключалась в оценке экономического эффекта TAFTA (TTIP) для Соединенных Штатов и Европейского Союза в случае Brexit, а также некоторого потенциального воздействия на третьи страны и альтернативные FTA в качестве противовесов TTIP. Для выявления математических и статистических зависимостей автор построил корреляционные и регрессионные модели между зависимыми и независимыми переменными. Зависимыми переменными являются ВВП, независимыми переменными — ВВП на душу населения, безработица, экспорт и импорт, индекс цен и инвестиции, а также участие страны в зоне свободной торговли. Для оценки независимой переменной (в частности, участия в зоне свободной торговли) автор использовал “фиктивную переменную” со значениями “0” в течение десяти лет до вступления в зону свободной торговли и “1” в течение десяти лет после вступления конкретной страны в зону свободной торговли. Общий вывод, вытекающий из исследования, заключается в том, что RTS позволяет многим странам вести переговоры и достигать льготных условий торговли в гораздо большей степени, чем это возможно на многостороннем уровне.
Об авторе
Я. В. Раудсепп
Финансовый университет
Россия
Россия
Ян Витальевич Раудсепп
Студент магистратуры, Международный финансовый факультет, Департамент экономической теории
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Для цитирования:
Раудсепп Я.В. Перспективы Трансатлантического соглашения о зоне свободной торговли между ЕС и США после Брекзита. Review of Business and Economics Studies. 2019;7(4):45-71. https://doi.org/10.26794/2308-944X-2019-7-4-45-71
For citation:
Raudsepp Ya. Perspectives of the Transatlantic Free Trade Agreement between the EU and the US after BREXIT. Review of Business and Economics Studies. 2019;7(4):45-71. https://doi.org/10.26794/2308-944X-2019-7-4-45-71
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